Tuesday, June 26, 2007

Why Autonomous Regions Won't Work

Joe Biden and others have proposed that Iraq be cut up in to 3 regions. Here's why it won't work.

Autonomous regions would only survive temporarily, before they are swept up by surrounding countries. Sunnis+Saudi Arabia and Shiites+Iran. Turkey has threatened to invade Kurdistan if it becomes any more autonomous than it already is.

And how would it be possible to cut up the country? Baghdad is full of Shiites, Sunnis and Kurds? The whole plan is unrealistic.

There would be a temporary period of peace before the whole region is engulfed in war.

Other options will work. It will take time and patience, but what Petraeus is doing in Iraq right now will work. We need to give them more time, something the majority of Americans are too impatient to do.


Political Realm said...

On the contrary, it could also be asked why we are forcing the country to stay together. The borders as they exist today were arbitrarily drawn years ago. If they want to break up, I think that is there option. Of course, they'd have to work out an oil sharing deal for any agreement to be reached.

I think you're right though that Americans don't have the patience anymore. It's tough to balance local successes when you also have days when dozens are killed.

Simmons said...

Yes, they were drawn arbitrarily, but they are what they are. If the Shiite dominated sections of Iraq wanted to break off and become part of Iran with all of its resources, would the Sunnis be happy?

Thanks for the comment.

Political Realm said...

Time magazine had a great article about breaking up Iraq several months ago: http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1555130,00.html

I don't know if it would work, but I wouldn't take it off the table.

Simmons said...

Yes of course; but you can't take anything off the table.

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